How the Largest Movement In the World Came Into Being While No One Saw It Coming - The Nature of Revolution

Blessed%20Unrest.jpgSometimes something happens that almost no one sees coming. The mainstreaming of the Internet was such an event. When MIT Media Lab founder Nicholas Negroponte was asked in 1994 why he had not foreseen the coming ubiquity of the Internet he lamely responded, "The Internet for us was like air. It was there all the time - you wouldn't notice it existed unless it was missing." This is but one example of numerous in human history where the most knowledgable among us are unaware of the obvious as it happens before their eyes. They are too familiar with the present and thus blind to the future and could not see what was really happening, nor understand its implications.

Paul Hawken’s new book, Blessed Unrest describes another and potentially even greater event in terms of humankind's future: a massive social transformation of government and business quietly taking place beyond the awareness of most people. The stealthy nature of this event is hinted in the book’s subtitle, How the Largest Movement in the World Came into Being and Why No One Saw it Coming.

Hawken takes the reader on a journey through time, starting out many centuries ago, to show how we got to where we are today in terms of how we are dealing with major societal problems, such as the beleaguered state of our natural environments.

 At times a reader might wonder why Hawken pauses in the journey he takes us on to talk about life centuries ago. However, in the end he pulls together threads harvested from multiple spools of thought into a beautifully fashioned literary tapestry depicting humankind’s present situation on this planet.

This is yet another example of the revolution. Pay attention to what you may not be seeing and you may be the beneficiary of insights that will lead to better choices and decisions during the turmoil that is destined to embrace us all as the revolution moves ahead.

CNN’s “God’s Warriors”, Where the Rubber Meets the Road in the Revolution

god%20warrior.jpgWe are going through tremendous change in our world as the result of technology, Globalism, and shifts in the manner humans interact and relate. Throughout history, change has resulted in groups attempting to hold on to the past for fear of the future. No more evident is this today than with respect to fundamentalist religious zealots and CNN’s “God’s Warriors” addresses this theme.

Marshalls of change in the past had to face the fear of those invested in dated paradigms, and this clash is a motivating force for irrational destructive behaviors. This fear is the force behind terrorist acts; “God” has little if anything to do with it. In our era, the degree of change is more severe and rapid, thereby creating a volatile scenario. What are we to do about it? Brace ourselves. Humankind’s actions in the coming decades will enable, hopefully, a shift from the past, thus opening our world to an opportunity for lasting and unparalleled peace and prosperity. It will begin with increased understanding of our cultural difference that hopefully the new world will enable.

CNN’s six-house documentary, “God’s Warriors” offers an interesting portrayal of how followers of Judaism, Islam and Christianity have a common dissatisfaction with modern, secular society. In her introduction to all the segments, Amanpour defines God’s Warrior’s with the following observation: “Over the last 30 years, each faith, Judaism, Islam and Christianity, has exploded into a powerful religious force, with an army of followers who share a deep dissatisfaction with modern, secular society and a fierce determination to bring God and religion back into daily life, back to the seat of power. We call them “God’s Warriors.” “God’s Warriors” correctly identifies secular culture as the primary force that drives fundamentalists, extremists and even ordinary religious participants in various traditions to push for social and political change. How can we sympathize with this thinking though? Many secular parents are probably as unhappy that their children might be addicted to violent video games, or that their children’s friends are taking drugs or viewing pornography over the Internet.

A most interesting segment of “God’s Christian Warriors,” deals with the evangelist Ron Luce and his teen ministries. Luce expresses his beliefs to Amanpour about “virtue terrorists” who are “raping” teenage America in the streets, and he asserts that if his view of “purity” is “divisive,” he is just performing the will of Jesus, whose message was “divisive.” Interestingly, when they are discussing Luce’s live-in ministry program, where popular movies, television and music are prohibited, and where girls must dress conservatively and boys can’t use the Internet unsupervised, Amanpour tells Luce this makes her think of repressive societies around the world, like Iran. When Luce justifies the female dress code on the basis that the boys will then not be distracted by the girls’ sexuality, Amanpour replies that this is the same reasoning used by the Taliban. And therein lies the point; The difference between a Mr. Luce and a Mr. Bin Laden might not be as vast as one might first conclude.

Religious “fundamentalism” is a mostly 21st century response to the painful and dramatic change created by modernity. The trend was born among early 20th-century religious Zionists in Israel, biblically literate American Protestants and Iranian Shiites wary of Westernization. We must recognize one of fundamentalism's great ironies: though they ostensibly seek to restore a displaced, mythical spiritual foundation, they mostly and often re-establish that foundation using profoundly secular, pseudo-scientific means. Think "creation science". We must understand that for many people in America and around the world, secular society is experienced as a visceral assault to the senses, not to mention a direct challenge to deeply held values. Integration, which the revolution enables in a large and transforming manner, will enable the assimilation of changes. We must keep in mind, when the rubber hits the road in the Revolution, one must at times expect to smell it burning.

Buying groceries, cars and the rising cost of health care

health%20care.jpgMany of the challenges we routinely face and certainly many of the significant problems our society is grappling with stem from institutions and systems that no longer work. Often, the failure of these systems results from their impeding behaviors that would enable people to act with economic rationale, thus creating a solution to the very problem the institutions are attempting to address. A good example of this is health care in the U.S. Health care now comprises in excess of 16% of GDP and it will likely comprise nearly 30% by 2020 unless things change and soon. The challenge in other parts of the world is equally daunting. While the U.S. system has its own unique problems, other developed countries are facing similar problems. The solution is to deconstruct the very institutions involved in allocating health “care”, as they are at the source of rising costs and inefficient allocations of resources. There dismantling will come at the hands of the revolution in how people understand, learn and purchase solution that meet their needs. The system of today greatly limits choice and impedes an economic system that supports rational behavior.

U.S. citizens, and those of other developed nations, pay extremely high health care costs for three reasons: how health care is purchased; the regulatory requirements that dictate how insurance is provided; and remuneration for care. It is simple economics. A core aspect of the revolution is removing institutions from the midst of the process, enabling markets to react rationally, thereby creating a solution. While the following parables are overly simplistic, they illustrate a point as to what is really happening with care and why.

With respect to how we purchase care, think about the way you buy groceries. Everything you put in the basket you pay for. The more you put in, the more you pay. This is what keeps you from putting everything in the basket and leaving some for others.

Imagine if we changed how you purchased your groceries. Let’s assume that you pay $250 to Wall Mart at the first of the month and you were allowed to shop as much as you liked, as often as you liked, and take whatever you wanted. Your shopping habits would certainly change. Facing no incremental costs due to increased consumption, you would take more and more. Take the good beef, no more hamburger meat. Take more steaks than you need. Why not raid the electronics section for a new personal computer or I-pod. Who cares? Once you pre-paid your $250 you can take whatever you want without incurring extra costs.

Well, at some point Wall Mart will care. They would quickly increase your flat monthly fee significantly. Of course you might start complaining about the high cost of food. National food insurance might be a necessary solution to the fact that you can’t receive as much as you would like for only $250 per month! While this scenario sounds far fetched, it is representative of how we buy health care. It’s why we don’t ask doctors “how much is that x-ray?” In the short run, it doesn’t matter. Nor does it matter if I go to the doctor once or ten times. The system encourages over-consumption until insurance companies have to raise premiums because of our shopping behavior.

Now imagine a country that makes everyone buy a Porsche for a car. It would be illegal to buy a Civic. People would have very nice cars. However, there would be fewer cars around. If everyone had to purchase a $60,000 Porsche, fewer people would own cars. This is how the government regulates health care. Our state legislature and our federal government create “mandates” in health care. The government requires that certain conditions be covered. As a result, health care plans cover just about everything. Like the Porsche, they become extremely expensive. A 28 year old female does not require the same coverage as a 60 year old male, but the government doesn’t allow alternatives. Facing the expense, people usually choose not to buy health care at all. While many want to use government intervention to make health care more affordable, they fail to understand that government is a major reason care costs so much! If government would relax mandates to allow private insurers to sell many types of care plans, just as Detroit sells many types of cars, we would all have health care just like we all have cars.

The last point is who pays. While there are many uninsured, everyone does receive health care but not everyone pays. Go to the hospital. If you arrive at a hospital with no insurance or money, you still get admitted. So, we have a system where 100% of the people consume health care but maybe 70% pay for it. This is a further disconnected between consumer and supplier and results in the cost of care being higher than what you actually used. Your bill must compensate for the bills that aren’t paid by others.

The Horse, the Buggy, the Automobile, the Laptop, and the Classroom

Laptops.jpgWhen the automobile was invented, many horse buggy riding folks felt disdain for those privileged few who road four wheel machines on the very same roads as their horses. Similarly, when the telephone arrived, many failed to adopt the new communication tool. After all, writing letters was more than adequate, less costly and traditional. Now as the revolution in education begins to put its grip around existing inefficient institutional education, stories such as the one that follows, reflect small minded views of past changes. Like the telephone, automobile and even air travel, among other revolutionary tools, the laptop and its advantages of the Internet come into question in the context of the traditional class room. The real questions should be, "Why do we have a professor and a classroom in the first place?" I hope tip-taps do drive professors insane. Perhaps this will help in unleashing a new wave of learning generated by the elimination of legacy costs associated with existing educational institutions that try and undermine the technologies of the revolution.

Does the Tap-Tap of Laptops Drive Professors Insane?

Robin Raskin - Yahoo.com - Thu Aug 9, 2007 7:02AM EDT

 

The kids will soon be back in those hallowed halls of academia and a good number of them will have their electronic appendages with them. Professors are working overtime trying to figure out how laptops, PDA and cell phones fit into the classroom. Every professor has tales about the downside of laptops in their classrooms. They say that kids turn off their thinking skills and turn it into a touch typing class. Or that the annoying tap-tap of the keyboard drives them to distraction as they try to frame their next thought. They complain about kids who doze behind their open laptop screens (some report looking out on a sea of open laptop cases with logos) and about kids who IM, shop and e-bay to wile away the class hours.  Not all professors think laptops should be ousted from the classroom though; many talk about laptops the same ways they talk about the student's in their class: engage them and they'll be fine.

Campus Tech Fight


A few campuses are fighting back with their own technology. Some rig the campus network to be turned off in class. Some are experimenting with modifying a student's privileges to disable email and web accounts while they're scheduled for classes. Some schools have it written in their policy that students need explicit permission to be on their computers in class.

But aside from a few experimental campus-wide tactics, notebook policy varies from classroom to classroom, professor to professor. I spoke to an English professor at Columbia University (who happens to write about technology for PC Magazine as well) and his answer would have made Hemingway look verbose. "I don't allow laptops in class. Period. Teaching is a kind of conversation, even if one person participates only through facial expressions, and you can't have a conversation with someone who's typing on a keyboard."

 

Curiosity piqued, I wrote to my son's economics professor at Reed College to ask him what he and his colleagues thought about notebooks in the classroom. "Mixed feelings," he answered. He pointed out the many laptops add to the classroom experience --- supporting arguments and gathering facts (what is the currency in Bulgaria?). Ultimately he felt that Reed College "would make this sort of behavior generally unacceptable by the community, not just the professor."

Another professor at Elon University pointed me to a thread from the Association of Internet Researchers where professors shared both philosophical and tactical thoughts on laptops in the classroom. One described her tactics, which basically amounted to humiliating the students into never having their phones disturb a class again. Another would have laptop time and laptop free time at her discretion. Many spoke of laptop/cellphone policies making it an offense for students to be texting, taking photos, or otherwise misbehaving electronically.


 

A professor from Virginia Tech told me that she makes sure the laptops are closed during her Q&A sessions, but allows the rest. To her, surfing the web was sort of the modern day counterpart of doodling. And she reminded me that "students think it's a great tool so that they don't have to transfer their notes to their computers later. They can also create files with class notes, Blackboard lectures and more all focused on the topic so it becomes a management tool for learning."


 

Medical Care and the Revolution

The health care "Crisis" in the U.S. is indicative of the conflicts that are emerging throughout traditional institutions established via the second wave economy. The present care system was established in the industrial era, centered around repetitive tasks that met the needs of a uniform population with a finite set of demands.  An increasingly diverse set of medical challenges, more variation in population and increasingly complex treatments have created a breakdown that the old institutions are unable to cope with. To make matters more difficult, the second wave institutions representing "health care" in the U.S. are ill equipped to address lifestyle issues that are mounting greater barriers to enhanced life quality.

The existing systems must be scraped, as most industrial based institutions will be. The emerging solution will reflect a new age that emphasizes prevention, wellness, decentralized treatment and educational efforts that enable people to make improved choices.

August 12, 2007 NY Times Editorial

World's Best Medical Care?

Many Americans are under the delusion that we have “the best health care system in the world,” as President Bush sees it, or provide the “best medical care in the world,” as Rudolph Giuliani declared last week. That may be true at many top medical centers. But the disturbing truth is that this country lags well behind other advanced nations in delivering timely and effective care.

Michael Moore struck a nerve in his new documentary, “Sicko,” when he extolled the virtues of the government-run health care systems in France, England, Canada and even Cuba while deploring the failures of the largely private insurance system in this country. There is no question that Mr. Moore overstated his case by making foreign systems look almost flawless. But there is a growing body of evidence that, by an array of pertinent yardsticks, the United States is a laggard not a leader in providing good medical care.

Seven years ago, the World Health Organization made the first major effort to rank the health systems of 191 nations. France and Italy took the top two spots; the United States was a dismal 37th. More recently, the highly regarded Commonwealth Fund has pioneered in comparing the United States with other advanced nations through surveys of patients and doctors and analysis of other data. Its latest report, issued in May, ranked the United States last or next-to-last compared with five other nations — Australia, Canada, Germany, New Zealand and the United Kingdom — on most measures of performance, including quality of care and access to it. Other comparative studies also put the United States in a relatively bad light.

Insurance coverage. All other major industrialized nations provide universal health coverage, and most of them have comprehensive benefit packages with no cost-sharing by the patients. The United States, to its shame, has some 45 million people without health insurance and many more millions who have poor coverage. Although the president has blithely said that these people can always get treatment in an emergency room, many studies have shown that people without insurance postpone treatment until a minor illness becomes worse, harming their own health and imposing greater costs.

Access. Citizens abroad often face long waits before they can get to see a specialist or undergo elective surgery. Americans typically get prompter attention, although Germany does better. The real barriers here are the costs facing low-income people without insurance or with skimpy coverage. But even Americans with above-average incomes find it more difficult than their counterparts abroad to get care on nights or weekends without going to an emergency room, and many report having to wait six days or more for an appointment with their own doctors.

Fairness. The United States ranks dead last on almost all measures of equity because we have the greatest disparity in the quality of care given to richer and poorer citizens. Americans with below-average incomes are much less likely than their counterparts in other industrialized nations to see a doctor when sick, to fill prescriptions or to get needed tests and follow-up care.

Healthy lives. We have known for years that America has a high infant mortality rate, so it is no surprise that we rank last among 23 nations by that yardstick. But the problem is much broader. We rank near the bottom in healthy life expectancy at age 60, and 15th among 19 countries in deaths from a wide range of illnesses that would not have been fatal if treated with timely and effective care. The good news is that we have done a better job than other industrialized nations in reducing smoking. The bad news is that our obesity epidemic is the worst in the world.

Quality. In a comparison with five other countries, the Commonwealth Fund ranked the United States first in providing the “right care” for a given condition as defined by standard clinical guidelines and gave it especially high marks for preventive care, like Pap smears and mammograms to detect early-stage cancers, and blood tests and cholesterol checks for hypertensive patients. But we scored poorly in coordinating the care of chronically ill patients, in protecting the safety of patients, and in meeting their needs and preferences, which drove our overall quality rating down to last place. American doctors and hospitals kill patients through surgical and medical mistakes more often than their counterparts in other industrialized nations.

Life and death. In a comparison of five countries, the United States had the best survival rate for breast cancer, second best for cervical cancer and childhood leukemia, worst for kidney transplants, and almost-worst for liver transplants and colorectal cancer. In an eight-country comparison, the United States ranked last in years of potential life lost to circulatory diseases, respiratory diseases and diabetes and had the second highest death rate from bronchitis, asthma and emphysema. Although several factors can affect these results, it seems likely that the quality of care delivered was a significant contributor.

Patient satisfaction. Despite the declarations of their political leaders, many Americans hold surprisingly negative views of their health care system. Polls in Europe and North America seven to nine years ago found that only 40 percent of Americans were satisfied with the nation’s health care system, placing us 14th out of 17 countries. In recent Commonwealth Fund surveys of five countries, American attitudes stand out as the most negative, with a third of the adults surveyed calling for rebuilding the entire system, compared with only 13 percent who feel that way in Britain and 14 percent in Canada.

That may be because Americans face higher out-of-pocket costs than citizens elsewhere, are less apt to have a long-term doctor, less able to see a doctor on the same day when sick, and less apt to get their questions answered or receive clear instructions from a doctor. On the other hand, Gallup polls in recent years have shown that three-quarters of the respondents in the United States, in Canada and in Britain rate their personal care as excellent or good, so it could be hard to motivate these people for the wholesale change sought by the disaffected.

Use of information technology. Shockingly, despite our vaunted prowess in computers, software and the Internet, much of our health care system is still operating in the dark ages of paper records and handwritten scrawls. American primary care doctors lag years behind doctors in other advanced nations in adopting electronic medical records or prescribing medications electronically. This makes it harder to coordinate care, spot errors and adhere to standard clinical guidelines.

Top-of-the-line care. Despite our poor showing in many international comparisons, it is doubtful that many Americans, faced with a life-threatening illness, would rather be treated elsewhere. We tend to think that our very best medical centers are the best in the world. But whether this is a realistic assessment or merely a cultural preference for the home team is difficult to say. Only when better measures of clinical excellence are developed will discerning medical shoppers know for sure who is the best of the best.

With health care emerging as a major issue in the presidential campaign and in Congress, it will be important to get beyond empty boasts that this country has “the best health care system in the world” and turn instead to fixing its very real defects. The main goal should be to reduce the huge number of uninsured, who are a major reason for our poor standing globally. But there is also plenty of room to improve our coordination of care, our use of computerized records, communications between doctors and patients, and dozens of other factors that impair the quality of care. The world’s most powerful economy should be able to provide a health care system that really is the best.